As many fans in the UK concentrate on club season-opening performances or discuss forthcoming fall test matches, the battle for World Cup 2027 qualification rages on at full pace.
Chile secured their back-to-back appearance at the tournament with a sensational qualifying win against Samoa last month, leaving one place left up for grabs for Australia by 2027. Meanwhile, Paraguay stunned Brazil by twenty points in the opening match of their qualifying series.
The return match takes place this Saturday in the Brazilian city, close to São Paulo, while Brazil's men's team attempts to follow their women's achievement and secure qualification for the first time.
Regardless of Paraguay completes a shock overall victory, or Brazil bounces back after manager Emiliano Caffera's departure, the lineup for next month's qualifying event in Dubai will be confirmed. The Namibian team, Belgium, and the Samoan side are already confirmed their places for the Dubai-based competition from 8-18 November.
Several other teams have likewise earned their places. Hong Kong China achieved maiden World Cup entry after beating Korea by a large margin in July, while Zimbabwe will return to the sport's premier tournament for the first time in over three decades after claiming victory in the Rugby Africa Cup.
The consequence of Chile's playoff success means that Los Condores will face Italy for the first time next month during the autumn internationals, taking the place of Samoa who are obligated to compete in Dubai.
World Rugby's CEO described Chile an "exciting and rapidly rising power" in confirming the forthcoming match in the Italian city. While local rugby promotional efforts seek larger crowds, rugby in Chile is thriving. A sell-out audience of over 20,000 saw the qualifying win in Viña del Mar, and head coach Pablo Lemoine has guided the team on an upward trajectory since taking over in recent years.
The fifty-year-old ex- Uruguay international prop has been influencing the game for decades: recruited by Bristol in the 1990s, he memorably broke through the English defensive line to score at the 2003 Rugby World Cup.
His impact as national coach has been equally significant: Chile have climbed to 17th, their best position. At the previous tournament in France, they were defeated four times, conceding 215 points and scoring twenty-seven, including a 71-0 loss against England.
However, they proudly found the positive aspects, and following the 2027 draw in Sydney on 3 December, Lemoine can start preparations seriously. They faced the Scottish team last year, defeated by a significant margin in front of 24,000 fans, and while they were beaten across both matches by the Uruguayan side in the initial qualifying round, they managed a 21-18 win on the road in the Uruguayan capital.
Samoa, meanwhile, have participated in every World Cup for decades, but are currently languishing in sixteenth position in the men's rankings. They were winless in this year's regional tournament, resulting in playoff misery against Chile, and the need to face nations such as Belgium brings further difficulty for the rugby-loving country.
Beyond specific teams' fortunes, it is important to consider how changed the expanded tournament will look in 2027. For the first occasion, there will be a round of 16 with six pools of four teams rather than four groups of five teams. Group phase jeopardy is much lower because the four best third-placed sides will also qualify.
The organizers, Australia, are now placed seventh in the global rankings, which means they would miss out on a top seed and might meet either South Africa, the All Blacks, the Irish, the French, England, or the Pumas in their group. They could rise into the top six during a busy November, though: England, the Italian side, Ireland, and the French team are their fixtures, with a match versus the Japanese team in Tokyo also planned for 25 October.
The Welsh team, on the other hand, are balanced in 12th, with Japan behind, and the consequences of dropping to 13th and into pot three are possibly severe.
An additional fresh aspect for 2027 is the presence of five nations from the American continent: the Argentine team, Uruguay, the United States, the Canadian team, and the Chilean squad – with Paraguay or Brazil potentially becoming the sixth. From the governing body's perspective, engagement from the Americas is beneficial, particularly with the 2031 tournament set to be hosted by the USA, and the selection process for the 2035 edition was initiated last month.
For now, though. The second installment of Brazil versus Paraguay prepares a four-team qualifying contest, along with a potential rankings shake-up across Europe in November. No matter the outcome, Chile's qualification for a second consecutive World Cup has undoubtedly established them as a clear success story.
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